The demise of the music CD inevitable?


Hi,

Back on campus, my senior year. Everywhere I look, its all earbuds and cell phones streaming audio. None of my friends would even consider purchasing a CD! I as well almost completely stopped purchasing CD's now that I have lossless streaming from TIDAL. It seems that SQ is not an issue anymore for this generation, its content that is most important and there is no loss of it out there in the streaming world.
grm
Aside from longevity or lack thereof, what worries me most is that many new recordings are being engineered/mastered with the most popular listening devices in mind, which is earbuds, etc., certainly not high end equipment and with little attention (or even concern) for accuracy or staying true to the original. You'll notice that immediately if you switch from pop to jazz content on various streaming sources. It seems that they "color" the music from the get go so it sounds good on a $5 earbud but sounds awful when played on a high end home audio system. I sure hope they don't start f*ing around with less mainstream genres like jazz or classical because that would really piss me off...
Interesting question from the OP, and certainly started a lively discussion. Up until early last year, I was part-owner of a CD store that specialized in classical music, and from that perspective I think there are some factors that haven't yet been addressed in this discussion, namely the role of the record companies and copyright holders in the process of disseminating and marketing their products, and how they have contributed to what may be the demise of the industry. The old model of the leviathan record company issuing a succession of new recordings for mass consumption is fast becoming obsolete. Whether this is a good thing or not can be hotly debated--God knows these companies have often not behaved well--but the end result is that with new technologies it becomes harder for them to control the marketing and distribution process. A number of artists have taken to recording and issuing their own CDs independently. No, they're not going to make a gazillion dollars on royalties this way, but disc-for-disc, they'll sure do better for themselves than a record company would. I know of at least two important classical labels that don't pay royalties at all, they just purchase the recording for a set fee and that's it. The artist doesn't even own his/her own copyright. It was precisely this behavior that spawned sites like Magnatune and CDBaby, where an artist can distribute an independent project and reap rewards for it.

What I witnessed during my 20 (or so) years associated with the sales end of the industry was an inexorable shrinking of both the market for CDs and the number of new titles made available from the major labels, which also means they pretty much stopped promoting their artists. The record companies themselves went through disastrous mergers (like Sony/BMG or Time-Warner/AOL) and in the process lost their way forward. One of the oldest and most venerable of the classical labels, EMI, basically doesn't exist any more because of how the company was broken up and sold a few years ago. A lot of world-class performers were simply dropped by their former labels, but these same labels are endlessly repackaging and re-releasing their back-catalog. This process actually began in the late 1990s, but in recent years it has accelerated to the point where the old model of the CD store where you can go to browse, socialize, learn, etc. is an endangered species.

I still prefer to own a physical object (CD, LP) because I would rather have control over my own listening experience and not surrender it to a remote server, like a streaming service, whose reliability may be uncertain and who's probably going to track my habits. Also, the purchase of a CD or LP (if new and not used) should be (but isn't in every case) a way of supporting the artist or at least the artist's record label. If properly controlled, streaming should also do this, but recalling some of the earliest forays into music-sharing (remember Napster?), these were simple rip-offs of copyrighted recordings made possible by new technologies.

So, to address the original question, CDs are probably going to be with us for some time to come, but the way they are marketed is changing. I suppose eventually they'll go the way of the piano-roll and wax cylinder,  but even these have not totally disappeared yet. They're generally regarded as museum-pieces though.

Okay, sorry for the length of this rambling post--in fact, there's even more to say. To quote one of those 19th-century French authors: "If I'd had more time, I'd have written a shorter one."
I've read the above posts with some interest and offer these personal comments/opinions in no particular order.
1. CD "rot" might be due to mishandling or poor storage.  I still own a number of original CDs from 1984 and they all still look and play perfectly.
2. I have taken all my CDs and ripped them to (lossless) FLAC format.  I've placed all of them on a USB hard drive that is plugged into the back of my Oppo disc player.  All my music is readily available with a few clicks and scrolls.  I'll keep the CDs safe and well stored just in case.
3.  As a related issue, I can buy used CDs in bulk (Craigslist) for as little as fifty cents each.  Some are of no interest to me and some are scratched and I don't want to keep them.  Those I keep are ripped to FLAC...others go to Goodwill.  I have more music than I really will ever need.
4. If I stumble onto an artist or album I want, I will buy it new...usually they are cheap.
5. Younger generations love their music but to them it is all about portability.  They really care less about lossless or high-rez...as long as their MP3s sound OK.  This may be a factor in the market failure of SACD and DVD-Audio.
6. I have many hundreds of CDs and about 30 SACDs.  On my roughly $15K Emotiva/B&W system I don't think I can tell the difference between them.
7.  High-rez audio files are better and have more data.  Yet I doubt most people could tell the difference.
8.  I was raised on vinyl.  I switched to CDs when they arrived on the market.  I'd never go back to vinyl.  I mean, really, even if they do sound a little bit better, I'd never go back to the hassle of turntables, cartridges, cuing, snaps and pops, wow and flutter and......cuing a tone arm and flipping LPs.  Really!!
9. Here is an axiom I've always believed in.  Market an audio product, price it really high and get the word out that it is "high-end" and sounds better.  It won't sell.  Triple or quadruple the price (making it a lesser value) and brain dead audiopholes will buy it.  And, believe this, you spend enough on an audio component or accessory....it WILL sound better to you.




Generally I agree with most of the above post, but I did dip my toes into the hi-rez waters with disappointing results. Yes, I get why so many people love vinyl, and I’ve never actually parted with my rather extensive vinyl collection, but I’m still a CD guy at heart. As to item #9, I’m not sure a discerning listener would be taken in by that sort of hype, but it IS a great argument for blind taste-testing. I once heard a very expensive tube-based system that really didn’t float my boat even though I could clearly hear what so many people found attractive about it.
To that extent, I guess, it’s really down to one’s own taste. By very high-end standards, my own system is quite modest but I’ve chosen carefully and right now I’m very pleased with what I’m hearing. This is not to say that there won’t be some future tweaks/upgrades, but for the moment I’m happy. There are places on the price spectrum I just won’t go whether or not I could actually afford them.
Perhaps this post of mine just reiterates what I have already stated. Nevertheless, for those with CDs 30 years with no sign (as least as you are able to tell) of ROT, keep in mind year 31 could be very different. Granted, nothing last forever.

Regardless, their demise is inevitable for a number of reasons. (My list is with respect to retaining the source flac file on hard disk and playing back directly from their or USB through an audiphile grade DAC). No particular order.
- Cost
- Physical space
- Greater concern for lack of data preservation
- Current CDs can be ripped to disk, relegating the CD to a "backup"
- Redbook standard is limited to 16 bit PCM