The Order of Obsolescence


Vinyl enthusiasts should be cheered by a commentary piece captioned “There’s Nothing So Old as the Recently New” that appeared last weekend in the Wall Street Journal. The writer, Matt Ridley, who has written on genetic and social evolution, turned his attention to technology. He argues that new technology will have the biggest negative effect on the most recent similar technology. I can’t give you a link to the piece, because the WSJ charges for its content, but here is a quote that will give you the gist of the argument:
“My point is that new technologies threaten young technologies more than the threaten ancient ones. Kite-surfing may kill wind-surfing, but it will not affect sailing. Email eclipsed fax more than it did letter writing. Social networking is overtaking telephoning, but not partying. In the era of Kinect, Space Invaders is dead, but poker is thriving. . . .
“It seems there is nothing so dated as the recently new.”
According to this theory, computer audio should displace optical discs (a 30 year old technology) more than records (a 100 year old technology).
dougmc

Showing 1 response by honest1

This is something I've noticed. People love things that are considerably old, but hate things that are just recent;y replaced. If your're sharp, you can find things that are really well made just after they have had their day in the spotlight, and are just considered old and outdated, but before they become collectible. Case in point - jaguar XJS - a great car selling for under $15k. I think it will go up in value. I wish I had a garage.